The Giants are in obviously in the market for shortstops, the experiment they conducted at shortstop last year was a miserable failure. First was Miguel Tejada (.239 with 4 HRs and 26 RBIs in 322 ABs), whom they released part way through the season, second was trading for Orlando Cabrera (.241 with 1 HR and 13 RBIs in 126 ABs), and finally they finished the season with Brandon Crawford, a rookie who has many defensive skills but lacks offense, due mostly impart to his short amount of time in the minors. GM Brian Sabean has expressed that Brandon Crawford still has a lot to work on in the minors, so it's pretty evident that they will acquire a shortstop over the offseason. The question however, is if they go for a big time free agent shortstop or just be content to patch up the spot with a one-year deal like they have been doing for the past half a decade.
Here are all the 2012 free agent shortstops:
Clint Barmes (33)
Yuniesky Betancourt (30) - $6MM club option with a $2MM buyout
Orlando Cabrera (37)
Jamey Carroll (37)
Ronny Cedeno (29) - $3MM club option with a $200K buyout
Craig Counsell (41)
Rafael Furcal (34) - $12MM club option with a $1.3MM buyout
Alex Gonzalez (34)
Jerry Hairston Jr. (36)
Cesar Izturis (32)
John McDonald (37)
Nick Punto (34)
Edgar Renteria (35)
Jose Reyes (29)
Jimmy Rollins (33)
Ramon Santiago (32)
Marco Scutaro (36) - $6MM club option/$3MM player option with a $1.5MM buyout
Jack Wilson (34)
If you anything about these names, they are not pretty, the free agent class for shortstops is slim and ought to be somewhat expensive due to the need for good hitting shortstops. I however, will narrow it down to the best options for the Giants as well as disregarding players whose club options the team will surely pick up, i.e. Marco Scutaro.
(Batting Average/On-base Percentage/Slugging Percentage)
Jamey Carrol (37)
.290/.359 /.347 with 0 HRs and 17 RBIs.

Jamey Carrol is not the name that jumps off the page and makes people want to come to games, he has little to no power, hitting 12 HRs in his 9 big league seasons, he is not an RBI guy, and he is definitely not in the prime of his career. But he does one thing well, he gets on base, his on-base percentage is higher than all the Giants players that aren't named Carlos Beltran. Also, Carrol is the kind of guy that doesn't tail off as much at the end of his career. The power hitters are the hitters that tend to lose their power quickly. However, these on-base contact hitters, aren't affected by age as much. Another positive to Carrol is the fact that you could get him for very cheap, probably around 2M. This especially resonates after watching the movie Moneyball, in which Billy Beane was able to succeed with little money due to getting underrated players for cheap. Since Jamey Carrol does not have big RBI or HRs other GMs may look over him and you can get him for very little money.
Jimmy Rollins (33)
.268/.338/.399 with 16 HRs and 63 RBIs

Jimmy Rollins, an Alameda, CA native is also a very nice option, although he will command a much greater amount due to his track record. By getting Rollins, they would fill three gaping holes in their lineup, 1. the shortstop and 2. the leadoff hitter 3. speed (he has 30 SBs this year). Getting one player to fulfill three different needs is a very cost effective way of improving the team. Jimmy Rollins is almost all positives, he has postseason experience, he is good with the glove, winning 3 Gold Gloves in his career, and also he knows the Phillies well since he has spent every year of his 11-year career with them. The Phillies are a juggernaut postseason rival and they make perennial playoff appearances, this year posting a 102 win record. Any advantage that Rollins could give them in forms of advice would be welcomed. Jimmy Rollins is a winner, amazingly, he has made the playoffs every year of his career and that winning attitude will be a needed antidote for the disappointment that the 2011 brought.
Jose Reyes (29)
.337/.384/.493 with 7 HRs and 44 RBIs.

Jose Reyes the best shortstop on the market. Period. He has two huge positives, he hits for average, as seen by the astronomically high .337 average, he has speed, 39 SBs this year and one year, having an insane 78 SBs, and he is in his prime. Since he's not a power hitter, the spaciousness of AT&T park will work to his advantage rather than his detriment. But these positives are also accompanied by two large negatives for the Giants, money and injuries. Jose Reyes is going to get paid a lot, which is the understatement of the century. My guess is that he will get around 20M a year for many years even though he has a track record of numerous injuries. The Giants simply do not have enough money as it is, their payroll for 2011 almost reached 120M. And likely, even if the Giants do not make ANY improvements to the offense, the payroll will be higher than last year due to paying the pitchers to stick around in San Francisco. Brian Sabean has said that they won't be going after any huge big agents like Prince Fielder and Albert Pujols, and Jose Reyes definitely fits in that category. I don't like beating a dead horse, but just imagine that Sabean hadn't signed Zito and Rowand to those massive contracts. The Giants would have ample money to go after one, if not two of those free agents. Appalling, it really is.
So, what I think the Giants should do is just court Jose Reyes to test the water and see what other teams offers are, and if they see that they have a shot at bringing him by the bay, then they should jump on that. However, as Sabean should have learned by now, jumping out of your shoes to pay huge bucks to a player doesn't always pay off. Meanwhile, they should be trailing Jimmy Rollins like a mad dog and hope that the Phillies don't resign him because he is the perfect fit for this Giants team. He is a leadoff shortstop that won't come over for too too much, 8-9 million is probably the price range for him. Finally, if the Phillies end up re-signing Rollins, which they probably will, the third choice would be Jamey Caroll, who isn't great in any sense of the word, but one of the best deals on the weak shortstop market. The biggest advice, however for the Giants and Brian Sabean is to be smart, Giants fans are tired of seeing the Giants year after year replace mediocre old shortstop with mediocre old shortstop. It's time too stop looking how good players were in the past and hope that they repeat that, and time to start looking how their performing now. Please, Giants, don't give us another Edgar Renteria, Orlando Cabrera, or Miguel Tejada. This team deserves better.
Another fantastic post!
ReplyDeleteI am addicted to this blog, always something new every week, yet each post is a relevant and pressing issue for the ball club. So many exciting names on this list, I feel like its time that Sabean finally finds a good quality shortstop, which is probably the only real missing element for the team at this point. Once again, very well done, and I like the way that you provide a list of all the options at the beginning clearly stating who is out there, and then you hone in on the most relevant choices. Please keep up the good work, I can't wait to read your next post!!!!!!
Great blog Nathan. I could not agree with Robbie more. the organization of your blog really makes it stand out. And the information in your blog is all high quality with great analysis. Overall, great blog and keep up the good work. I'll be on the lookout for your blog.
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